Mortgage Scenario Lab

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Definitions

Wealth = House Value − Selling Costs − Debt + Investments

The basics

Scenario
One complete setup to compare: a loan plus your assumptions about the house, expenses, and your investments.
Horizon
The month everything is evaluated at, set with the slider. Most people sell or refinance long before a loan ends.

Wealth and its parts

Wealth is what you would have if you sold everything today. Each term below is one piece of the formula above.

House value
The home price grown (or shrunk) each month at your appreciation rate.
Selling costs
Agent commissions and closing costs when you sell, as a percent of the house value. Selling the house is part of "selling everything", so the house always counts net of these costs.
Debt
What you still owe on the mortgage, computed to the penny. It shrinks with every payment.
Investment
Money invested outside the house. It starts at the scenario's starting amount, grows each month at the investment return, and receives the monthly amount you add.
Invest payment after payoff
A per-scenario option. When on, once the loan is paid off, the monthly payment (plus any extra) that had been going to the bank goes into the investment.
Total wealth
The whole formula: house value minus selling costs minus debt plus investment.

Money that leaves the system

Every dollar you spend either becomes wealth (principal, down payment, investment contributions) or leaves for good. Costs track the second kind; costs never subtract from wealth, they are simply gone.

Expenses
The recurring part of costs: money paid to keep things going. Property tax (charged as 1/12 of the annual rate on that month's house value, so it grows with the house) plus monthly fees such as insurance, HOA, maintenance, or rent.
Costs
Everything that leaves the system: closing costs, interest, mortgage insurance, and expenses. Expenses are one part of costs; interest and mortgage insurance are the loan's own costs.

Loan features

PMI / FHA MIP
Mortgage insurance. PMI ends automatically when the scheduled balance reaches 78% of the original home value; FHA MIP can last the life of the loan.
ARM
Adjustable-rate mortgage: the rate is fixed for an initial period, then adjusts toward your expected index + margin within per-adjustment and lifetime caps.
Interest-only period
Months during which payments cover only interest; afterwards the payment recasts to pay off the balance over the remaining term.

Debt over time

Total wealth over time

House value − selling costs − debt + investment: what selling everything would leave you with, month by month. Each scenario's investment is exactly what you set in its editor: a starting amount plus a monthly amount, growing at its annual return.

Scenario breakdown

The three parts of one scenario's wealth: house value (net of selling costs), investment, and debt (owed, so it subtracts), plus their total.

Summary

Payment composition

Amortization schedules